Reading layer `ADM_ADM_2' from data source
`C:\Users\Admin\Desktop\measles\data\gadm41_VNM.gpkg' using driver `GPKG'
Simple feature collection with 710 features and 13 fields
Geometry type: MULTIPOLYGON
Dimension: XY
Bounding box: xmin: 102.1446 ymin: 8.381355 xmax: 109.4692 ymax: 23.39269
Geodetic CRS: WGS 84Đánh giá hệ số lây nhiễm theo thời gian thực của Sởi
1 Đánh giá Rt năm 2024
1.1 Bản đồ
Nhận định chung:
Đến ngày 01/11 xu hướng lây nhiễm của Sởi tại các số quận/huyện như sau:
Huyện Bình Chánh: số ca nhiễm đang giảm Rt = 0,68 (0,41 - 1,01).
TP. Thủ Đức: số ca nhiễm đang tăng Rt = 0,75 (0,54 - 1,69).
Quận 8: số ca nhiễm đang tăng Rt = 1,19 (0,69 - 1,82).
Huyện Củ Chi: số ca nhiễm đang tăng Rt = 0,44 (0,21 - 0,75).
Quận Bình Tân: số ca nhiễm có thể tăng Rt = 1,53 (1,14 - 1,98).
Quận 12: số ca nhiễm ổn định Rt = 1,29 (0,77 - 1,93).
Quận Tân Phú: số ca nhiễm ổn định Rt = 1,16 (0,76 - 1,64).
Huyện Hóc Môn: số ca nhiễm có thể giảm Rt = 0,81 (0,44 - 1,28).
Các Quận/Huyện còn lại không ước tính được hệ số lây Rt (do không đủ dữ liệu).
Trong tuần từ 25/10 - 01/11, dựa theo giá trị và khoảng tin cậy của Rt, xu hướng lây nhiễm của Thành phố và Quận/Huyện như sau:
Thành phố: Rt giảm dưới 1, tuy nhiên khoảng khoảng tin cậy của Rt vẫn chứa 1, do đó số ca nhiễm ổn định.
Quận/Huyện: Quận Bình Tân có số ca nhiễm đang tăng với Rt lớn hơn 1 (99% khoảng tin cậy của Rt > 1 (màu tím)). Quận 12 có số ca nhiễm có thể tăng, Quận Tân Phú và Quận 8 có số ca nhiễm ổn định.
So với 1 tuần trước:
Quận Bình Tân tăng báo động về số ca nhiễm (từ màu vàng thành màu tím).
TP. Thủ Đức giảm báo động về số ca nhiễm (từ màu tím thành màu xanh).
Củ Chi giảm báo động về số ca nhiễm (từ màu cam thành màu xanh).
Hóc Môn giảm báo động về số ca nhiễm (từ màu tím thành màu vàng).
Quận 12 giảm báo động về số ca nhiễm (từ màu tím thành màu đỏ).
Quận 8 và Tân Phú giảm báo động về số ca nhiễm (từ màu tím thành màu cam).
Bình Chánh vẫn giữ nguyên về xu hướng số ca nhiễm đang giảm (màu xanh).
Phân bố nhóm tuổi theo ngày khởi phát:
Nhóm < 1 tuổi và 1 – 5 tuổi xuất hiện đầu tiên (khoảng tuần 21), trong đó nhóm <1 tuổi có số ca tích lũy cao nhất cho thấy đây là nhóm bị ảnh hưởng nặng nhất, nhóm 1-5 tuổi cũng xuất hiện sớm có số ca tích lũy cao đứng thứ hai.
Nhóm 6 – 10 tuổi bắt đầu xuất hiện từ tuần 22 và có số ca tích lũy tăng theo thời gian. Các nhóm tuổi lớn hơn xuất hiện trễ hơn nhưng số ca tích lũy tăng rất nhanh.
1.2 Thành phố
Bảng kết quả của Rt
| Dates | Estimate Rt | Q1 | Q3 | Propability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | 0.9368478 | 0.8258003 | 1.054799 | 0.1405251 |
| 2024-10-31 | 0.9663602 | 0.8524563 | 1.087303 | 0.2824632 |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.9313557 | 0.8183749 | 1.051536 | 0.1255605 |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.9307375 | 0.8164697 | 1.052380 | 0.1262022 |
| 2024-10-28 | 0.9777277 | 0.8591216 | 1.103891 | 0.3537770 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1.0422095 | 0.9182051 | 1.173954 | 0.7371973 |
| 2024-10-26 | 1.0576674 | 0.9313432 | 1.191908 | 0.8057859 |
| 2024-10-25 | 1.1481451 | 1.0150267 | 1.289346 | 0.9858912 |
| 2024-10-24 | 1.2346208 | 1.0951921 | 1.382282 | 0.9996767 |
| 2024-10-23 | 1.2361141 | 1.0955534 | 1.385036 | 0.9996700 |
| 2024-10-22 | 1.3090872 | 1.1634693 | 1.463167 | 0.9999944 |
| 2024-10-21 | 1.3515608 | 1.2029309 | 1.508723 | 0.9999996 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1.3445436 | 1.1959624 | 1.501698 | 0.9999994 |
| 2024-10-19 | 1.3156734 | 1.1685903 | 1.471348 | 0.9999957 |
| 2024-10-18 | 1.2668460 | 1.1225406 | 1.419751 | 0.9999218 |
| 2024-10-17 | 1.2458972 | 1.1027286 | 1.397677 | 0.9997586 |
| 2024-10-16 | 1.2142986 | 1.0727433 | 1.364499 | 0.9988434 |
| 2024-10-15 | 1.2151052 | 1.0729371 | 1.365990 | 0.9988375 |
| 2024-10-14 | 1.1618098 | 1.0219730 | 1.310483 | 0.9889178 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1.1513324 | 1.0108319 | 1.300842 | 0.9830064 |
| 2024-10-12 | 1.1997945 | 1.0545365 | 1.354289 | 0.9970310 |
| 2024-10-11 | 1.1850599 | 1.0386774 | 1.340952 | 0.9940424 |
| 2024-10-10 | 1.1562100 | 1.0094276 | 1.312811 | 0.9818583 |
| 2024-10-09 | 1.2115572 | 1.0587378 | 1.374529 | 0.9972235 |
| 2024-10-08 | 1.2250201 | 1.0688241 | 1.391713 | 0.9981084 |
| 2024-10-07 | 1.2250504 | 1.0664051 | 1.394536 | 0.9978076 |
| 2024-10-06 | 1.2620040 | 1.0985732 | 1.436602 | 0.9994307 |
| 2024-10-05 | 1.3434129 | 1.1724943 | 1.525791 | 0.9999847 |
| 2024-10-04 | 1.3650191 | 1.1909726 | 1.550762 | 0.9999939 |
| 2024-10-03 | 1.4155665 | 1.2370144 | 1.605980 | 0.9999996 |
| 2024-10-02 | 1.4445146 | 1.2634681 | 1.637506 | 0.9999999 |
| 2024-10-01 | 1.4770401 | 1.2938392 | 1.672194 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-09-30 | 1.4143461 | 1.2355655 | 1.605031 | 0.9999995 |
| 2024-09-29 | 1.3486563 | 1.1747861 | 1.534350 | 0.9999844 |
| 2024-09-28 | 1.3143483 | 1.1433660 | 1.497071 | 0.9999226 |
| 2024-09-27 | 1.2450574 | 1.0792711 | 1.422515 | 0.9985659 |
| 2024-09-26 | 1.2153852 | 1.0519827 | 1.390411 | 0.9957843 |
| 2024-09-25 | 1.1627952 | 1.0033271 | 1.333852 | 0.9774408 |
| 2024-09-24 | 1.0982126 | 0.9436325 | 1.264346 | 0.8873473 |
| 2024-09-23 | 1.0814208 | 0.9283843 | 1.245961 | 0.8427277 |
| 2024-09-22 | 1.0330650 | 0.8840259 | 1.193543 | 0.6545115 |
| 2024-09-21 | 0.9486939 | 0.8065340 | 1.102223 | 0.2437446 |
| 2024-09-20 | 0.9320832 | 0.7915569 | 1.083923 | 0.1799872 |
| 2024-09-19 | 0.9064991 | 0.7681183 | 1.056172 | 0.1043391 |
| 2024-09-18 | 0.9027946 | 0.7645429 | 1.052366 | 0.0958993 |
| 2024-09-17 | 0.9092446 | 0.7700051 | 1.059885 | 0.1122094 |
| 2024-09-16 | 0.9800724 | 0.8345293 | 1.137142 | 0.3887816 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1.0361806 | 0.8854161 | 1.198624 | 0.6671876 |
| 2024-09-14 | 1.0318069 | 0.8803746 | 1.195080 | 0.6458331 |
| 2024-09-13 | 1.0839680 | 0.9275852 | 1.252354 | 0.8448780 |
| 2024-09-12 | 1.0344217 | 0.8808076 | 1.200201 | 0.6556638 |
| 2024-09-11 | 1.0359904 | 0.8812183 | 1.203100 | 0.6615575 |
| 2024-09-10 | 1.0517963 | 0.8946629 | 1.221455 | 0.7273809 |
| 2024-09-09 | 1.0756680 | 0.9154507 | 1.248615 | 0.8119363 |
| 2024-09-08 | 1.1001787 | 0.9367995 | 1.276497 | 0.8781845 |
| 2024-09-07 | 1.1932647 | 1.0215953 | 1.378070 | 0.9869677 |
| 2024-09-06 | 1.2439972 | 1.0674765 | 1.433826 | 0.9972588 |
| 2024-09-05 | 1.2716799 | 1.0922031 | 1.464609 | 0.9989164 |
| 2024-09-04 | 1.2624424 | 1.0828159 | 1.455651 | 0.9984141 |
| 2024-09-03 | 1.2320713 | 1.0538205 | 1.424045 | 0.9953879 |
| 2024-09-02 | 1.1750214 | 1.0000057 | 1.363943 | 0.9750040 |
| 2024-09-01 | 1.1887253 | 1.0111353 | 1.380471 | 0.9817854 |
| 2024-08-31 | 1.2244210 | 1.0420473 | 1.421285 | 0.9928706 |
| 2024-08-30 | 1.2674707 | 1.0792482 | 1.470599 | 0.9979245 |
| 2024-08-29 | 1.3329422 | 1.1367426 | 1.544531 | 0.9997545 |
| 2024-08-28 | 1.3620392 | 1.1603729 | 1.579625 | 0.9998977 |
| 2024-08-27 | 1.3060369 | 1.1053962 | 1.523163 | 0.9990421 |
| 2024-08-26 | 1.3546608 | 1.1465502 | 1.579871 | 0.9997767 |
| 2024-08-25 | 1.3719575 | 1.1584449 | 1.603262 | 0.9998419 |
| 2024-08-24 | 1.3856278 | 1.1663630 | 1.623499 | 0.9998660 |
| 2024-08-23 | 1.4167949 | 1.1894927 | 1.663677 | 0.9999346 |
| 2024-08-22 | 1.5110569 | 1.2694730 | 1.773372 | 0.9999967 |
| 2024-08-21 | 1.6651266 | 1.4034022 | 1.948898 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-20 | 1.8224529 | 1.5397564 | 2.128623 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-19 | 1.9744948 | 1.6711619 | 2.302751 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-18 | 1.9716857 | 1.6607344 | 2.308926 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-17 | 1.9594799 | 1.6428962 | 2.303544 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-16 | 1.8785950 | 1.5637259 | 2.221917 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-15 | 1.8832873 | 1.5639563 | 2.231843 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-14 | 1.8613760 | 1.5407101 | 2.211905 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-13 | 1.9628306 | 1.6300122 | 2.326108 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-12 | 1.8723608 | 1.5444668 | 2.231348 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-11 | 1.9503164 | 1.6115841 | 2.320878 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-10 | 1.9174649 | 1.5773883 | 2.290243 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-09 | 1.8531819 | 1.5141839 | 2.225911 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-08 | 1.7349752 | 1.4020366 | 2.102851 | 0.9999994 |
| 2024-08-07 | 1.6708897 | 1.3383142 | 2.039816 | 0.9999939 |
| 2024-08-06 | 1.5668591 | 1.2385371 | 1.933199 | 0.9998695 |
| 2024-08-05 | 1.5210260 | 1.1901092 | 1.891921 | 0.9994915 |
| 2024-08-04 | 1.5178761 | 1.1786902 | 1.899301 | 0.9992532 |
| 2024-08-03 | 1.5609494 | 1.2072382 | 1.959413 | 0.9995586 |
| 2024-08-02 | 1.6285480 | 1.2568789 | 2.047625 | 0.9998370 |
| 2024-08-01 | 1.7459449 | 1.3503136 | 2.191633 | 0.9999794 |
| 2024-07-31 | 1.8045158 | 1.3926872 | 2.268875 | 0.9999911 |
| 2024-07-30 | 1.9362016 | 1.5005296 | 2.426557 | 0.9999993 |
| 2024-07-29 | 1.9369760 | 1.4949172 | 2.435422 | 0.9999990 |
| 2024-07-28 | 1.7949755 | 1.3664185 | 2.281093 | 0.9999743 |
| 2024-07-27 | 1.7836281 | 1.3543836 | 2.271054 | 0.9999647 |
| 2024-07-26 | 1.8166544 | 1.3829215 | 2.308643 | 0.9999815 |
| 2024-07-25 | 1.8336943 | 1.3993019 | 2.325910 | 0.9999879 |
| 2024-07-24 | 1.6858469 | 1.2734706 | 2.155176 | 0.9998070 |
| 2024-07-23 | 1.5624022 | 1.1703465 | 2.010225 | 0.9985424 |
| 2024-07-22 | 1.4385766 | 1.0677393 | 1.863837 | 0.9912513 |
| 2024-07-21 | 1.2921703 | 0.9460311 | 1.691438 | 0.9470715 |
| 2024-07-20 | 1.1849010 | 0.8575187 | 1.564394 | 0.8485857 |
| 2024-07-19 | 1.0908962 | 0.7793522 | 1.454009 | 0.6876707 |
| 2024-07-18 | 0.9832908 | 0.6886848 | 1.329533 | 0.4376615 |
| 2024-07-17 | 1.0531796 | 0.7452925 | 1.413468 | 0.6034660 |
| 2024-07-16 | 0.9397398 | 0.6468736 | 1.286431 | 0.3377765 |
| 2024-07-15 | 0.8868653 | 0.5983643 | 1.231230 | 0.2322919 |
| 2024-07-14 | 1.0813103 | 0.7531723 | 1.467851 | 0.6553447 |
| 2024-07-13 | 1.0679145 | 0.7351032 | 1.461893 | 0.6236165 |
| 2024-07-12 | 1.0827221 | 0.7405811 | 1.488811 | 0.6496470 |
| 2024-07-11 | 1.0567116 | 0.7129588 | 1.467027 | 0.5941367 |
| 2024-07-10 | 1.0954606 | 0.7391027 | 1.520822 | 0.6666030 |
| 2024-07-09 | 1.2470447 | 0.8584082 | 1.707108 | 0.8778241 |
| 2024-07-08 | 1.4100115 | 0.9875547 | 1.906513 | 0.9708155 |
| 2024-07-07 | 1.5068799 | 1.0609825 | 2.029774 | 0.9886431 |
| 2024-07-06 | 1.6970173 | 1.2123740 | 2.261881 | 0.9987340 |
| 2024-07-05 | 1.8074009 | 1.2970221 | 2.401139 | 0.9996579 |
| 2024-07-04 | 1.9087164 | 1.3756349 | 2.527737 | 0.9999038 |
| 2024-07-03 | 1.8525358 | 1.3234787 | 2.469165 | 0.9997508 |
| 2024-07-02 | 1.8192053 | 1.2936328 | 2.432976 | 0.9995855 |
| 2024-07-01 | 1.7702357 | 1.2527242 | 2.375825 | 0.9992076 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1.4381603 | 0.9771601 | 1.986835 | 0.9675601 |
| 2024-06-29 | 1.2982268 | 0.8626623 | 1.821393 | 0.8960179 |
| 2024-06-28 | 1.2159565 | 0.7943032 | 1.725953 | 0.8157015 |
| 2024-06-27 | 1.4814831 | 1.0065959 | 2.046686 | 0.9768264 |
| 2024-06-26 | 1.5850933 | 1.0842027 | 2.179604 | 0.9908421 |
| 2024-06-25 | 1.5603529 | 1.0527635 | 2.166229 | 0.9863031 |
| 2024-06-24 | 1.4891559 | 0.9813631 | 2.101145 | 0.9695566 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1.5302119 | 0.9995852 | 2.172014 | 0.9748921 |
| 2024-06-22 | 1.4501564 | 0.9192747 | 2.100095 | 0.9459735 |
| 2024-06-21 | 1.4920947 | 0.9350878 | 2.177151 | 0.9541432 |
| 2024-06-20 | 1.4695019 | 0.8976099 | 2.180069 | 0.9383300 |
| 2024-06-19 | 1.6117979 | 0.9845280 | 2.391171 | 0.9713050 |
| 2024-06-18 | 1.8919961 | 1.1711754 | 2.782890 | 0.9948509 |
| 2024-06-17 | 2.1717660 | 1.3443574 | 3.194397 | 0.9989351 |
| 2024-06-16 | 2.9475657 | 1.8885609 | 4.238513 | 0.9999950 |
| 2024-06-15 | 3.9534639 | 2.5825338 | 5.611627 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-06-14 | 5.1420781 | 3.3589761 | 7.298771 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-06-13 | 6.2607380 | 3.9687708 | 9.066709 | 1.0000000 |
1.3 Phân bố nhóm tuổi
1.4 Quận/Huyện
1.4.1 Bình Chánh
Bảng kết quả của Rt
| Dates | Estimate Rt | Q1 | Q3 | Propability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | 0.6752534 | 0.4065467 | 1.0110236 | 0.0283747 |
| 2024-10-31 | 0.7007832 | 0.4280566 | 1.0396418 | 0.0389955 |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.7265626 | 0.4497537 | 1.0686829 | 0.0529547 |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.6812391 | 0.4161185 | 1.0106473 | 0.0283323 |
| 2024-10-28 | 0.7657425 | 0.4854150 | 1.1089370 | 0.0796276 |
| 2024-10-27 | 0.7736002 | 0.4956602 | 1.1124143 | 0.0837405 |
| 2024-10-26 | 0.7422056 | 0.4755451 | 1.0672698 | 0.0544471 |
| 2024-10-25 | 0.6781371 | 0.4298807 | 0.9820682 | 0.0197610 |
| 2024-10-24 | 0.6730846 | 0.4312580 | 0.9678758 | 0.0160964 |
| 2024-10-23 | 0.5878132 | 0.3683794 | 0.8576924 | 0.0025421 |
| 2024-10-22 | 0.6392904 | 0.4137150 | 0.9131649 | 0.0065499 |
| 2024-10-21 | 0.6649294 | 0.4381926 | 0.9381913 | 0.0097231 |
| 2024-10-20 | 0.7401853 | 0.5029200 | 1.0225747 | 0.0342426 |
| 2024-10-19 | 0.7222157 | 0.4907106 | 0.9977496 | 0.0241927 |
| 2024-10-18 | 0.6858473 | 0.4627383 | 0.9521580 | 0.0118262 |
| 2024-10-17 | 0.6539999 | 0.4379940 | 0.9126184 | 0.0058615 |
| 2024-10-16 | 0.6262185 | 0.4161177 | 0.8785753 | 0.0030129 |
| 2024-10-15 | 0.6248448 | 0.4152048 | 0.8766479 | 0.0028898 |
| 2024-10-14 | 0.5832604 | 0.3810051 | 0.8278918 | 0.0010278 |
| 2024-10-13 | 0.6598180 | 0.4418905 | 0.9207373 | 0.0068451 |
| 2024-10-12 | 0.6993032 | 0.4718170 | 0.9708389 | 0.0160924 |
| 2024-10-11 | 0.8448440 | 0.5884648 | 1.1468538 | 0.1396545 |
| 2024-10-10 | 0.8588349 | 0.5947681 | 1.1706493 | 0.1667977 |
| 2024-10-09 | 1.0672749 | 0.7624769 | 1.4225250 | 0.6384598 |
| 2024-10-08 | 1.1639938 | 0.8353020 | 1.5463699 | 0.8147758 |
| 2024-10-07 | 1.3046946 | 0.9442140 | 1.7225549 | 0.9471843 |
| 2024-10-06 | 1.3633920 | 0.9826130 | 1.8055572 | 0.9683818 |
| 2024-10-05 | 1.5245127 | 1.1077133 | 2.0068380 | 0.9947915 |
| 2024-10-04 | 1.6557165 | 1.2076909 | 2.1733282 | 0.9989261 |
| 2024-10-03 | 1.7469810 | 1.2742599 | 2.2931240 | 0.9996279 |
| 2024-10-02 | 1.9134634 | 1.4059410 | 2.4979880 | 0.9999632 |
| 2024-10-01 | 1.9972824 | 1.4675280 | 2.6074120 | 0.9999868 |
| 2024-09-30 | 2.2108698 | 1.6409502 | 2.8644293 | 0.9999995 |
| 2024-09-29 | 2.1570010 | 1.5848832 | 2.8159214 | 0.9999981 |
| 2024-09-28 | 2.3267077 | 1.7213112 | 3.0219202 | 0.9999999 |
| 2024-09-27 | 2.1023604 | 1.5214886 | 2.7756926 | 0.9999908 |
| 2024-09-26 | 2.2493090 | 1.6406614 | 2.9524903 | 0.9999989 |
| 2024-09-25 | 2.0244008 | 1.4462616 | 2.6982370 | 0.9999588 |
| 2024-09-24 | 1.8729171 | 1.3187065 | 2.5228282 | 0.9996617 |
| 2024-09-23 | 1.6467341 | 1.1335360 | 2.2542518 | 0.9951375 |
| 2024-09-22 | 1.4530317 | 0.9803544 | 2.0172361 | 0.9688408 |
| 2024-09-21 | 1.2972285 | 0.8619989 | 1.8199923 | 0.8953419 |
| 2024-09-20 | 1.1827570 | 0.7794443 | 1.6688274 | 0.7832929 |
| 2024-09-19 | 1.1100210 | 0.7315108 | 1.5661995 | 0.6802309 |
| 2024-09-18 | 0.9996464 | 0.6530022 | 1.4189185 | 0.4731981 |
| 2024-09-17 | 0.8983795 | 0.5813838 | 1.2832488 | 0.2703742 |
| 2024-09-16 | 0.7734897 | 0.4903261 | 1.1201566 | 0.0877305 |
| 2024-09-15 | 0.6941689 | 0.4350319 | 1.0128785 | 0.0292548 |
| 2024-09-14 | 0.6239839 | 0.3862559 | 0.9178024 | 0.0078648 |
| 2024-09-13 | 0.6467575 | 0.4099888 | 0.9366248 | 0.0101625 |
| 2024-09-12 | 0.5356094 | 0.3271642 | 0.7945994 | 0.0007214 |
| 2024-09-11 | 0.4882038 | 0.2939306 | 0.7309633 | 0.0001475 |
| 2024-09-10 | 0.4223814 | 0.2460527 | 0.6455726 | 0.0000122 |
| 2024-09-09 | 0.4597403 | 0.2767937 | 0.6883464 | 0.0000375 |
| 2024-09-08 | 0.4502597 | 0.2710858 | 0.6741516 | 0.0000225 |
| 2024-09-07 | 0.4426997 | 0.2665341 | 0.6628324 | 0.0000147 |
| 2024-09-06 | 0.5283172 | 0.3349078 | 0.7651012 | 0.0002427 |
| 2024-09-05 | 0.5448392 | 0.3490888 | 0.7834628 | 0.0003711 |
| 2024-09-04 | 0.5628032 | 0.3642165 | 0.8039102 | 0.0005951 |
| 2024-09-03 | 0.6282767 | 0.4174853 | 0.8814628 | 0.0032055 |
| 2024-09-02 | 0.6307517 | 0.4191299 | 0.8849352 | 0.0034504 |
| 2024-09-01 | 0.6847086 | 0.4619700 | 0.9505772 | 0.0115106 |
| 2024-08-31 | 0.7710211 | 0.5307355 | 1.0554684 | 0.0528083 |
| 2024-08-30 | 0.9181632 | 0.6497469 | 1.2322626 | 0.2783891 |
| 2024-08-29 | 1.0080999 | 0.7202013 | 1.3436531 | 0.4992748 |
| 2024-08-28 | 1.1108980 | 0.8006376 | 1.4711763 | 0.7316882 |
| 2024-08-27 | 1.1428869 | 0.8201553 | 1.5183293 | 0.7834546 |
| 2024-08-26 | 1.2386301 | 0.8926956 | 1.6403334 | 0.9009221 |
| 2024-08-25 | 1.3491838 | 0.9764110 | 1.7812928 | 0.9655113 |
| 2024-08-24 | 1.4815761 | 1.0765155 | 1.9503171 | 0.9917026 |
| 2024-08-23 | 1.5719466 | 1.1376256 | 2.0754008 | 0.9965921 |
| 2024-08-22 | 1.7692699 | 1.2855542 | 2.3290314 | 0.9996682 |
| 2024-08-21 | 2.0146542 | 1.4695026 | 2.6444775 | 0.9999838 |
| 2024-08-20 | 2.4120564 | 1.7784600 | 3.1407003 | 0.9999999 |
| 2024-08-19 | 2.9340351 | 2.1912777 | 3.7835275 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-18 | 3.1338591 | 2.3260106 | 4.0602654 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-17 | 3.1974464 | 2.3493634 | 4.1742019 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-16 | 2.9302823 | 2.1028212 | 3.8928906 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-15 | 2.9001193 | 2.0718878 | 3.8654446 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-14 | 2.7147195 | 1.9210971 | 3.6434127 | 0.9999999 |
| 2024-08-13 | 2.6958333 | 1.9170010 | 3.6053638 | 0.9999999 |
| 2024-08-12 | 2.3915097 | 1.6749840 | 3.2336219 | 0.9999968 |
| 2024-08-11 | 2.3030768 | 1.6130467 | 3.1140495 | 0.9999928 |
| 2024-08-10 | 2.1106311 | 1.4616734 | 2.8769311 | 0.9999317 |
| 2024-08-09 | 1.8868239 | 1.2820053 | 2.6066695 | 0.9991397 |
| 2024-08-08 | 1.6902606 | 1.1231659 | 2.3714104 | 0.9935909 |
| 2024-08-07 | 1.4539247 | 0.9315570 | 2.0907009 | 0.9511265 |
| 2024-08-06 | 1.2301484 | 0.7514066 | 1.8249777 | 0.7937718 |
| 2024-08-05 | 0.9472183 | 0.5301509 | 1.4833199 | 0.3829505 |
| 2024-08-04 | 0.9166294 | 0.5011298 | 1.4555025 | 0.3375726 |
| 2024-08-03 | 0.7523871 | 0.3755889 | 1.2578788 | 0.1381281 |
| 2024-08-02 | 0.8612720 | 0.4450318 | 1.4126324 | 0.2657427 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.9801068 | 0.5218656 | 1.5803532 | 0.4344116 |
| 2024-07-31 | 1.0271898 | 0.5469353 | 1.6562713 | 0.5013867 |
| 2024-07-30 | 1.2350816 | 0.6912658 | 1.9341067 | 0.7587533 |
| 2024-07-29 | 1.5303121 | 0.9069599 | 2.3140569 | 0.9456972 |
| 2024-07-28 | 1.3877308 | 0.7932081 | 2.1457978 | 0.8764198 |
| 2024-07-27 | 1.4847594 | 0.8649271 | 2.2693236 | 0.9258592 |
| 2024-07-26 | 1.5650275 | 0.9275345 | 2.3665517 | 0.9542069 |
| 2024-07-25 | 1.6317131 | 0.9823979 | 2.4430834 | 0.9708901 |
| 2024-07-24 | 1.6906266 | 1.0326787 | 2.5081167 | 0.9813312 |
| 2024-07-23 | 1.4980022 | 0.8878111 | 2.2651997 | 0.9364183 |
| 2024-07-22 | 1.3966901 | 0.8136234 | 2.1347173 | 0.8891240 |
| 2024-07-21 | 1.3036553 | 0.7451517 | 2.0157949 | 0.8239753 |
| 2024-07-20 | 1.3826289 | 0.8054323 | 2.1132260 | 0.8818810 |
| 2024-07-19 | 1.2284131 | 0.6875335 | 1.9236639 | 0.7526173 |
| 2024-07-18 | 1.0833540 | 0.5768404 | 1.7468320 | 0.5759914 |
| 2024-07-17 | 1.2862923 | 0.7199280 | 2.0143012 | 0.8017583 |
| 2024-07-16 | 1.0695878 | 0.5526716 | 1.7543056 | 0.5531089 |
| 2024-07-15 | 0.8396092 | 0.3839228 | 1.4705465 | 0.2578678 |
| 2024-07-14 | 1.1737019 | 0.6064689 | 1.9250705 | 0.6710282 |
| 2024-07-13 | 1.2242060 | 0.6325651 | 2.0079058 | 0.7190281 |
| 2024-07-12 | 1.3668571 | 0.7277939 | 2.2039609 | 0.8355106 |
| 2024-07-11 | 1.2801016 | 0.6614472 | 2.0995840 | 0.7652650 |
| 2024-07-10 | 1.2806016 | 0.6617055 | 2.1004041 | 0.7656473 |
| 2024-07-09 | 1.2718364 | 0.6571764 | 2.0860278 | 0.7588680 |
| 2024-07-08 | 1.4763563 | 0.8071377 | 2.3442847 | 0.8991936 |
| 2024-07-07 | 1.4829152 | 0.8107235 | 2.3546994 | 0.9017452 |
| 2024-07-06 | 1.4015279 | 0.7462546 | 2.2598651 | 0.8548097 |
| 2024-07-05 | 1.5563275 | 0.8508587 | 2.4712697 | 0.9263739 |
| 2024-07-04 | 1.7377152 | 0.9725860 | 2.7212181 | 0.9692706 |
| 2024-07-03 | 1.5828471 | 0.8427994 | 2.5522296 | 0.9253990 |
| 2024-07-02 | 1.6780162 | 0.8934730 | 2.7056831 | 0.9476075 |
| 2024-07-01 | 1.7999508 | 0.9583980 | 2.9022940 | 0.9666614 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1.5119036 | 0.7250166 | 2.5830576 | 0.8673726 |
| 2024-06-29 | 1.3559383 | 0.5853979 | 2.4445322 | 0.7576325 |
| 2024-06-28 | 1.3792333 | 0.5545233 | 2.5731517 | 0.7510945 |
| 2024-06-27 | 2.4002474 | 1.1510119 | 4.1007755 | 0.9894295 |
| 2024-06-26 | 3.4041513 | 1.6993401 | 5.6912323 | 0.9994618 |
| 2024-06-25 | 5.1087132 | 2.6397467 | 8.3791575 | 0.9999932 |
1.4.2 Bình Tân
Bảng kết quả của Rt
| Dates | Estimate Rt | Q1 | Q3 | Propability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-31 | 1.5309899 | 1.1399225 | 1.978843 | 0.9973808 |
| 2024-10-30 | 1.4448777 | 1.0616418 | 1.886259 | 0.9900255 |
| 2024-10-29 | 1.4686902 | 1.0791383 | 1.917345 | 0.9923774 |
| 2024-10-28 | 1.3854158 | 1.0066452 | 1.823734 | 0.9772233 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1.4144645 | 1.0317201 | 1.856656 | 0.9841438 |
| 2024-10-26 | 1.3372951 | 0.9678071 | 1.765596 | 0.9612912 |
| 2024-10-25 | 1.3134669 | 0.9505625 | 1.734137 | 0.9513786 |
| 2024-10-24 | 1.2841962 | 0.9293792 | 1.695491 | 0.9360885 |
| 2024-10-23 | 1.2250592 | 0.8829149 | 1.622361 | 0.8888021 |
| 2024-10-22 | 1.1991212 | 0.8642211 | 1.588011 | 0.8621553 |
| 2024-10-21 | 1.1229040 | 0.8022191 | 1.496671 | 0.7472958 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1.0547422 | 0.7463984 | 1.415565 | 0.6069213 |
| 2024-10-19 | 0.9934250 | 0.6957826 | 1.343236 | 0.4620836 |
| 2024-10-18 | 0.9096817 | 0.6261831 | 1.245284 | 0.2708970 |
| 2024-10-17 | 0.9674356 | 0.6738543 | 1.313269 | 0.4000672 |
| 2024-10-16 | 0.9172424 | 0.6313875 | 1.255634 | 0.2873550 |
| 2024-10-15 | 0.8685252 | 0.5901208 | 1.199878 | 0.1940966 |
| 2024-10-14 | 0.8493993 | 0.5730862 | 1.179216 | 0.1637707 |
| 2024-10-13 | 0.8325426 | 0.5575669 | 1.161764 | 0.1402920 |
| 2024-10-12 | 0.8769589 | 0.5916805 | 1.217477 | 0.2131770 |
| 2024-10-11 | 1.0465906 | 0.7289887 | 1.420720 | 0.5834718 |
| 2024-10-10 | 1.0133806 | 0.6975646 | 1.387240 | 0.5072028 |
| 2024-10-09 | 1.1058180 | 0.7702428 | 1.501119 | 0.7013949 |
| 2024-10-08 | 1.2337170 | 0.8730515 | 1.655766 | 0.8841378 |
| 2024-10-07 | 1.2620287 | 0.8930867 | 1.693763 | 0.9075684 |
| 2024-10-06 | 1.2483926 | 0.8789836 | 1.681591 | 0.8935430 |
| 2024-10-05 | 1.3266913 | 0.9434072 | 1.774296 | 0.9485961 |
| 2024-10-04 | 1.2605337 | 0.8875321 | 1.697945 | 0.9032368 |
| 2024-10-03 | 1.2565285 | 0.8847120 | 1.692550 | 0.9001268 |
| 2024-10-02 | 1.2159421 | 0.8516309 | 1.644107 | 0.8598488 |
| 2024-10-01 | 1.2429206 | 0.8751308 | 1.674220 | 0.8889084 |
| 2024-09-30 | 1.2381055 | 0.8717405 | 1.667734 | 0.8846888 |
| 2024-09-29 | 1.2693799 | 0.8982888 | 1.703629 | 0.9129354 |
| 2024-09-28 | 1.3025568 | 0.9262453 | 1.742018 | 0.9365678 |
| 2024-09-27 | 1.1352998 | 0.7862281 | 1.547489 | 0.7475537 |
| 2024-09-26 | 1.1661531 | 0.8122683 | 1.583022 | 0.7966093 |
| 2024-09-25 | 1.0273597 | 0.6980410 | 1.419310 | 0.5356835 |
| 2024-09-24 | 0.9529363 | 0.6381964 | 1.329767 | 0.3731940 |
| 2024-09-23 | 1.0081354 | 0.6849791 | 1.392751 | 0.4940550 |
| 2024-09-22 | 0.9334207 | 0.6251265 | 1.302534 | 0.3310795 |
| 2024-09-21 | 0.8938036 | 0.5939260 | 1.253993 | 0.2521154 |
| 2024-09-20 | 0.9532027 | 0.6431218 | 1.323326 | 0.3724821 |
| 2024-09-19 | 0.9214898 | 0.6171362 | 1.285885 | 0.3057563 |
| 2024-09-18 | 0.9902474 | 0.6728251 | 1.368038 | 0.4544122 |
| 2024-09-17 | 1.0649983 | 0.7330958 | 1.457900 | 0.6177698 |
| 2024-09-16 | 1.0475997 | 0.7165574 | 1.440516 | 0.5799770 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1.0322358 | 0.7013542 | 1.426046 | 0.5460347 |
| 2024-09-14 | 0.9835010 | 0.6586661 | 1.372418 | 0.4397105 |
| 2024-09-13 | 1.0367352 | 0.6994809 | 1.439294 | 0.5538251 |
| 2024-09-12 | 1.0213144 | 0.6839903 | 1.425184 | 0.5203853 |
| 2024-09-11 | 1.1125204 | 0.7559037 | 1.536960 | 0.6994715 |
| 2024-09-10 | 1.1332780 | 0.7700074 | 1.565637 | 0.7329823 |
| 2024-09-09 | 1.1533383 | 0.7836374 | 1.593350 | 0.7627731 |
| 2024-09-08 | 1.1716212 | 0.7960597 | 1.618608 | 0.7877138 |
| 2024-09-07 | 1.3015613 | 0.9013691 | 1.774115 | 0.9212886 |
| 2024-09-06 | 1.3129038 | 0.9092241 | 1.789575 | 0.9278715 |
| 2024-09-05 | 1.3175225 | 0.9124227 | 1.795871 | 0.9304077 |
| 2024-09-04 | 1.2760427 | 0.8783691 | 1.746804 | 0.9008613 |
| 2024-09-03 | 1.2283383 | 0.8401825 | 1.689043 | 0.8565434 |
| 2024-09-02 | 1.1768881 | 0.7996384 | 1.625885 | 0.7945131 |
| 2024-09-01 | 1.1995785 | 0.8205108 | 1.649496 | 0.8262002 |
| 2024-08-31 | 1.1108797 | 0.7495059 | 1.542228 | 0.6930789 |
| 2024-08-30 | 1.0992750 | 0.7416762 | 1.526118 | 0.6732834 |
| 2024-08-29 | 1.0907704 | 0.7359382 | 1.514311 | 0.6582730 |
| 2024-08-28 | 1.0500582 | 0.7032405 | 1.465294 | 0.5787591 |
| 2024-08-27 | 0.9780494 | 0.6445407 | 1.379992 | 0.4286372 |
| 2024-08-26 | 1.0200456 | 0.6778129 | 1.431109 | 0.5165613 |
| 2024-08-25 | 1.1051826 | 0.7456621 | 1.534319 | 0.6834607 |
| 2024-08-24 | 0.9363070 | 0.6059285 | 1.337425 | 0.3449210 |
| 2024-08-23 | 0.8801911 | 0.5579656 | 1.274680 | 0.2437948 |
| 2024-08-22 | 1.0218832 | 0.6675280 | 1.450482 | 0.5177208 |
| 2024-08-21 | 1.0957620 | 0.7221141 | 1.546081 | 0.6566620 |
| 2024-08-20 | 1.0957811 | 0.7158006 | 1.555374 | 0.6530147 |
| 2024-08-19 | 1.2322094 | 0.8187942 | 1.728771 | 0.8422302 |
| 2024-08-18 | 1.2001465 | 0.7839755 | 1.703512 | 0.7985489 |
| 2024-08-17 | 1.3597691 | 0.9035567 | 1.907736 | 0.9308837 |
| 2024-08-16 | 1.4327060 | 0.9520228 | 2.010065 | 0.9582151 |
| 2024-08-15 | 1.5639733 | 1.0474175 | 2.182433 | 0.9852767 |
| 2024-08-14 | 1.7048628 | 1.1502638 | 2.366852 | 0.9956090 |
| 2024-08-13 | 1.8562907 | 1.2612594 | 2.564487 | 0.9988940 |
| 2024-08-12 | 1.7049114 | 1.1235474 | 2.405568 | 0.9934198 |
| 2024-08-11 | 1.8684155 | 1.2415486 | 2.621359 | 0.9983065 |
| 2024-08-10 | 2.0529046 | 1.3748624 | 2.864708 | 0.9996563 |
| 2024-08-09 | 2.1902755 | 1.4668619 | 3.056401 | 0.9998788 |
| 2024-08-08 | 2.1100038 | 1.3783246 | 2.994983 | 0.9995470 |
| 2024-08-07 | 2.4598776 | 1.6345708 | 3.451172 | 0.9999772 |
| 2024-08-06 | 2.4887276 | 1.6257195 | 3.532551 | 0.9999639 |
| 2024-08-05 | 2.4087947 | 1.5269692 | 3.488381 | 0.9998442 |
| 2024-08-04 | 2.6385122 | 1.6725904 | 3.821055 | 0.9999582 |
| 2024-08-03 | 2.7586481 | 1.7288301 | 4.025210 | 0.9999681 |
| 2024-08-02 | 2.7272594 | 1.6658809 | 4.046006 | 0.9999175 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.9428004 | 1.7975389 | 4.365770 | 0.9999703 |
| 2024-07-31 | 2.8285859 | 1.6763993 | 4.277238 | 0.9998828 |
| 2024-07-30 | 2.8180748 | 1.6416324 | 4.307178 | 0.9998140 |
| 2024-07-29 | 3.1054773 | 1.8405027 | 4.695938 | 0.9999631 |
| 2024-07-28 | 2.8330840 | 1.6193523 | 4.380695 | 0.9997330 |
| 2024-07-27 | 2.8638812 | 1.6369556 | 4.428316 | 0.9997625 |
| 2024-07-26 | 2.6655084 | 1.4918648 | 4.174119 | 0.9992486 |
| 2024-07-25 | 2.5897294 | 1.4494519 | 4.055451 | 0.9990031 |
| 2024-07-24 | 1.8030889 | 0.9000955 | 3.014495 | 0.9530817 |
| 2024-07-23 | 1.6776519 | 0.8374778 | 2.804783 | 0.9299455 |
| 2024-07-22 | 1.5405624 | 0.7690432 | 2.575590 | 0.8912255 |
| 2024-07-21 | 1.2811293 | 0.6143513 | 2.188784 | 0.7404313 |
| 2024-07-20 | 0.9425914 | 0.4069441 | 1.699336 | 0.3872502 |
| 2024-07-19 | 0.8781065 | 0.3791040 | 1.583081 | 0.3111140 |
| 2024-07-18 | 0.6244646 | 0.2291675 | 1.214410 | 0.0834368 |
| 2024-07-17 | 0.7044908 | 0.2832418 | 1.314326 | 0.1342124 |
| 2024-07-16 | 0.7935475 | 0.3425975 | 1.430635 | 0.2129852 |
| 2024-07-15 | 0.5965204 | 0.2189125 | 1.160066 | 0.0649110 |
| 2024-07-14 | 0.6061046 | 0.2224297 | 1.178705 | 0.0709937 |
| 2024-07-13 | 0.6225377 | 0.2284604 | 1.210663 | 0.0820833 |
| 2024-07-12 | 0.6453998 | 0.2368503 | 1.255123 | 0.0988321 |
| 2024-07-11 | 0.5631107 | 0.1828405 | 1.153430 | 0.0591767 |
| 2024-07-10 | 0.5970099 | 0.1938475 | 1.222866 | 0.0800788 |
| 2024-07-09 | 0.7723952 | 0.2834554 | 1.502094 | 0.2134195 |
| 2024-07-08 | 0.9928292 | 0.3991688 | 1.852261 | 0.4422053 |
| 2024-07-07 | 1.2830472 | 0.5539287 | 2.313122 | 0.7110198 |
| 2024-07-06 | 1.8660176 | 0.8948280 | 3.188054 | 0.9532100 |
| 2024-07-05 | 2.4569309 | 1.2264911 | 4.107621 | 0.9935664 |
| 2024-07-04 | 3.2905511 | 1.7002758 | 5.397063 | 0.9995854 |
| 2024-07-03 | 4.1210477 | 2.1294055 | 6.759218 | 0.9999459 |
| 2024-07-02 | 4.7936915 | 2.3929935 | 8.014336 | 0.9999711 |
| 2024-07-01 | 6.6793537 | 3.4513195 | 10.955275 | 0.9999995 |
| 2024-06-30 | 7.8349211 | 3.9111644 | 13.098817 | 0.9999997 |
| 2024-06-29 | 9.1222464 | 4.3744717 | 15.585179 | 0.9999997 |
| 2024-06-28 | 11.7243689 | 5.6222906 | 20.030854 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-06-27 | 16.7042148 | 8.3386838 | 27.926951 | 1.0000000 |
1.4.3 TP. Thủ Đức
Bảng kết quả của Rt
| Dates | Estimate Rt | Q1 | Q3 | Propability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | 0.7503493 | 0.5407858 | 0.9936970 | 0.0224772 |
| 2024-10-31 | 0.7497304 | 0.5380195 | 0.9960196 | 0.0234002 |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.7717530 | 0.5538233 | 1.0252766 | 0.0371514 |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.6824672 | 0.4753634 | 0.9264315 | 0.0067895 |
| 2024-10-28 | 0.8334648 | 0.5981088 | 1.1072610 | 0.1048837 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1.0227099 | 0.7540655 | 1.3316543 | 0.5425154 |
| 2024-10-26 | 1.1422204 | 0.8504581 | 1.4763483 | 0.8110674 |
| 2024-10-25 | 1.3642248 | 1.0359131 | 1.7370371 | 0.9862430 |
| 2024-10-24 | 1.6214080 | 1.2539969 | 2.0353053 | 0.9998356 |
| 2024-10-23 | 1.5246494 | 1.1634681 | 1.9339086 | 0.9986858 |
| 2024-10-22 | 1.5580774 | 1.1889772 | 1.9763096 | 0.9991956 |
| 2024-10-21 | 1.6001633 | 1.2239981 | 2.0259613 | 0.9996116 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1.5507988 | 1.1805399 | 1.9707879 | 0.9990191 |
| 2024-10-19 | 1.5494994 | 1.1795508 | 1.9691367 | 0.9990004 |
| 2024-10-18 | 1.5524177 | 1.1817723 | 1.9728453 | 0.9990418 |
| 2024-10-17 | 1.5400904 | 1.1694552 | 1.9609629 | 0.9987484 |
| 2024-10-16 | 1.5429016 | 1.1685786 | 1.9684354 | 0.9986851 |
| 2024-10-15 | 1.5906559 | 1.2047472 | 2.0293604 | 0.9993297 |
| 2024-10-14 | 1.5417162 | 1.1548512 | 1.9836093 | 0.9980880 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1.4696323 | 1.0835908 | 1.9135848 | 0.9929979 |
| 2024-10-12 | 1.5261241 | 1.1213386 | 1.9923243 | 0.9960616 |
| 2024-10-11 | 1.4532889 | 1.0474028 | 1.9246088 | 0.9870514 |
| 2024-10-10 | 1.2556336 | 0.8695628 | 1.7115124 | 0.8888838 |
| 2024-10-09 | 1.4557009 | 1.0249478 | 1.9608360 | 0.9818325 |
| 2024-10-08 | 1.5853316 | 1.1218750 | 2.1276662 | 0.9950906 |
| 2024-10-07 | 1.5384898 | 1.0716145 | 2.0884600 | 0.9898254 |
| 2024-10-06 | 1.7935896 | 1.2754175 | 2.3987176 | 0.9994614 |
| 2024-10-05 | 2.0544377 | 1.4868068 | 2.7124215 | 0.9999843 |
| 2024-10-04 | 2.0699575 | 1.4918433 | 2.7412709 | 0.9999835 |
| 2024-10-03 | 2.0182373 | 1.4418583 | 2.6900219 | 0.9999560 |
| 2024-10-02 | 2.0492229 | 1.4639949 | 2.7313213 | 0.9999682 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.1670346 | 1.5618079 | 2.8698313 | 0.9999943 |
| 2024-09-30 | 1.9106543 | 1.3452770 | 2.5736604 | 0.9997656 |
| 2024-09-29 | 1.7523634 | 1.2135626 | 2.3885883 | 0.9983168 |
| 2024-09-28 | 1.6999561 | 1.1701715 | 2.3271086 | 0.9969318 |
| 2024-09-27 | 1.5527460 | 1.0476312 | 2.1556689 | 0.9854695 |
| 2024-09-26 | 1.4156011 | 0.9328900 | 1.9973620 | 0.9496210 |
| 2024-09-25 | 1.2870860 | 0.8246603 | 1.8507918 | 0.8680141 |
| 2024-09-24 | 1.2736052 | 0.8073564 | 1.8444164 | 0.8517680 |
| 2024-09-23 | 1.4970055 | 0.9778937 | 2.1248803 | 0.9685796 |
| 2024-09-22 | 1.4407375 | 0.9231077 | 2.0717381 | 0.9469861 |
| 2024-09-21 | 1.1863444 | 0.7142568 | 1.7762548 | 0.7410542 |
| 2024-09-20 | 1.2255162 | 0.7378408 | 1.8349049 | 0.7821803 |
| 2024-09-19 | 1.3866558 | 0.8583618 | 2.0395975 | 0.9108481 |
| 2024-09-18 | 1.2740439 | 0.7670577 | 1.9075629 | 0.8255513 |
| 2024-09-17 | 1.2880097 | 0.7754660 | 1.9284732 | 0.8365800 |
| 2024-09-16 | 1.3021760 | 0.7839950 | 1.9496837 | 0.8471439 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1.4606935 | 0.9041923 | 2.1484977 | 0.9404288 |
| 2024-09-14 | 1.5628184 | 0.9794100 | 2.2803461 | 0.9696569 |
| 2024-09-13 | 1.5351062 | 0.9502549 | 2.2579495 | 0.9606323 |
| 2024-09-12 | 1.6689736 | 1.0459369 | 2.4352397 | 0.9838181 |
| 2024-09-11 | 1.7484519 | 1.0957455 | 2.5512083 | 0.9899287 |
| 2024-09-10 | 1.6827906 | 1.0278922 | 2.4964917 | 0.9805143 |
| 2024-09-09 | 1.6220762 | 0.9613452 | 2.4528177 | 0.9654486 |
| 2024-09-08 | 1.5643080 | 0.8941372 | 2.4188326 | 0.9428797 |
| 2024-09-07 | 1.6154328 | 0.9041455 | 2.5297270 | 0.9485407 |
| 2024-09-06 | 1.8135255 | 1.0150165 | 2.8399351 | 0.9776676 |
| 2024-09-05 | 2.0857527 | 1.1673799 | 3.2662360 | 0.9927869 |
| 2024-09-04 | 2.9664098 | 1.7580825 | 4.4856478 | 0.9999346 |
| 2024-09-03 | 3.0359004 | 1.6991704 | 4.7541433 | 0.9998002 |
| 2024-09-02 | 4.1402360 | 2.3665026 | 6.4018966 | 0.9999968 |
| 2024-09-01 | 5.1867410 | 2.9029796 | 8.1223054 | 0.9999996 |
1.4.4 Hóc Môn
Bảng kết quả của Rt
| Dates | Estimate Rt | Q1 | Q3 | Propability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-31 | 0.8079226 | 0.4416988 | 1.282889 | 0.1800797 |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.7340338 | 0.3792860 | 1.203940 | 0.1106511 |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.8486013 | 0.4518444 | 1.368310 | 0.2420017 |
| 2024-10-28 | 1.1216034 | 0.6410932 | 1.734295 | 0.6428897 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1.2115059 | 0.6924803 | 1.873307 | 0.7450365 |
| 2024-10-26 | 1.3958978 | 0.8131619 | 2.133506 | 0.8887270 |
| 2024-10-25 | 1.7797640 | 1.0871261 | 2.640356 | 0.9885375 |
| 2024-10-24 | 2.1046567 | 1.3189772 | 3.070955 | 0.9987826 |
| 2024-10-23 | 2.1236846 | 1.3145942 | 3.123675 | 0.9986086 |
| 2024-10-22 | 2.4003363 | 1.5216073 | 3.476132 | 0.9998363 |
| 2024-10-21 | 2.4121638 | 1.5291049 | 3.493260 | 0.9998472 |
| 2024-10-20 | 2.3690762 | 1.5017911 | 3.430862 | 0.9998034 |
| 2024-10-19 | 1.9945643 | 1.2183317 | 2.959021 | 0.9964427 |
| 2024-10-18 | 1.8277282 | 1.1004118 | 2.736567 | 0.9895316 |
| 2024-10-17 | 1.6793034 | 0.9952616 | 2.539354 | 0.9739871 |
| 2024-10-16 | 1.7384870 | 1.0466827 | 2.602951 | 0.9833196 |
| 2024-10-15 | 1.6362164 | 0.9697255 | 2.474200 | 0.9677860 |
| 2024-10-14 | 1.3694410 | 0.7664657 | 2.144510 | 0.8574145 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1.3846157 | 0.7749589 | 2.168273 | 0.8658919 |
| 2024-10-12 | 1.3094126 | 0.7158680 | 2.079197 | 0.8089953 |
| 2024-10-11 | 0.9466855 | 0.4539725 | 1.617393 | 0.3897300 |
| 2024-10-10 | 0.9564638 | 0.4586616 | 1.634100 | 0.4024257 |
| 2024-10-09 | 0.9662304 | 0.4633450 | 1.650786 | 0.4150358 |
| 2024-10-08 | 0.6855432 | 0.2756239 | 1.278976 | 0.1173951 |
| 2024-10-07 | 0.7996763 | 0.3452434 | 1.441684 | 0.2198562 |
| 2024-10-06 | 1.0293872 | 0.4936312 | 1.758688 | 0.4941160 |
| 2024-10-05 | 1.1746904 | 0.5864012 | 1.963907 | 0.6620383 |
| 2024-10-04 | 1.4427278 | 0.7681918 | 2.326297 | 0.8749928 |
| 2024-10-03 | 1.4895855 | 0.7931415 | 2.401852 | 0.8947094 |
| 2024-10-02 | 1.4000627 | 0.7234328 | 2.296341 | 0.8425389 |
| 2024-10-01 | 1.5188138 | 0.8087044 | 2.448980 | 0.9054555 |
| 2024-09-30 | 1.3845235 | 0.7154035 | 2.270854 | 0.8340500 |
| 2024-09-29 | 1.2433591 | 0.6206804 | 2.078711 | 0.7239689 |
| 2024-09-28 | 1.2148573 | 0.6064524 | 2.031060 | 0.6994992 |
| 2024-09-27 | 1.1864725 | 0.5922828 | 1.983605 | 0.6733914 |
| 2024-09-26 | 0.9461649 | 0.4326469 | 1.657175 | 0.3903367 |
| 2024-09-25 | 1.3238835 | 0.7049122 | 2.134669 | 0.8083396 |
| 2024-09-24 | 1.3667609 | 0.7472209 | 2.170260 | 0.8460943 |
| 2024-09-23 | 1.1097017 | 0.5733991 | 1.820099 | 0.6014932 |
| 2024-09-22 | 0.9547953 | 0.4766304 | 1.596275 | 0.3993845 |
| 2024-09-21 | 0.8127941 | 0.3897663 | 1.388643 | 0.2169028 |
| 2024-09-20 | 0.6125536 | 0.2644572 | 1.104333 | 0.0523607 |
| 2024-09-19 | 0.5847006 | 0.2524322 | 1.054118 | 0.0376060 |
| 2024-09-18 | 0.5677203 | 0.2451013 | 1.023506 | 0.0300651 |
| 2024-09-17 | 0.6308897 | 0.2884829 | 1.104982 | 0.0544190 |
| 2024-09-16 | 0.7024538 | 0.3368539 | 1.200128 | 0.0986966 |
| 2024-09-15 | 0.7111975 | 0.3410469 | 1.215067 | 0.1065524 |
| 2024-09-14 | 0.7250097 | 0.3476703 | 1.238665 | 0.1195716 |
| 2024-09-13 | 0.8176096 | 0.4081478 | 1.366921 | 0.2147529 |
| 2024-09-12 | 0.8442030 | 0.4214231 | 1.411381 | 0.2491113 |
| 2024-09-11 | 0.5604801 | 0.2253421 | 1.045654 | 0.0347794 |
| 2024-09-10 | 0.6775536 | 0.2925196 | 1.221517 | 0.0982720 |
| 2024-09-09 | 0.9101181 | 0.4364370 | 1.554919 | 0.3418595 |
| 2024-09-08 | 1.0925776 | 0.5454108 | 1.826626 | 0.5745411 |
| 2024-09-07 | 1.5367543 | 0.8401579 | 2.440190 | 0.9204663 |
| 2024-09-06 | 1.9552333 | 1.1175848 | 3.023306 | 0.9899783 |
| 2024-09-05 | 2.3147349 | 1.3484184 | 3.537868 | 0.9984190 |
| 2024-09-04 | 2.5665281 | 1.4950972 | 3.922711 | 0.9994709 |
| 2024-09-03 | 2.4916709 | 1.3945693 | 3.901894 | 0.9985544 |
| 2024-09-02 | 2.5427744 | 1.3901584 | 4.037634 | 0.9982988 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.9756168 | 1.6654302 | 4.659741 | 0.9997537 |
| 2024-08-31 | 3.2695729 | 1.8299552 | 5.120069 | 0.9999092 |
| 2024-08-30 | 3.6394618 | 2.0369791 | 5.699305 | 0.9999721 |
| 2024-08-29 | 4.1272246 | 2.3099763 | 6.463129 | 0.9999934 |
| 2024-08-28 | 5.1085666 | 2.9199872 | 7.899191 | 0.9999998 |
| 2024-08-27 | 5.3304517 | 2.9142076 | 8.464147 | 0.9999993 |
| 2024-08-26 | 6.0969917 | 3.2463913 | 9.830970 | 0.9999996 |
| 2024-08-25 | 6.6043430 | 3.2968643 | 11.041474 | 0.9999985 |
1.4.5 Quận 8
Bảng kết quả của Rt
| Dates | Estimate Rt | Q1 | Q3 | Propability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | 1.1887486 | 0.6924898 | 1.8168971 | 0.7293505 |
| 2024-10-31 | 1.0169830 | 0.5559940 | 1.6148524 | 0.4894196 |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.8351702 | 0.4169139 | 1.3962797 | 0.2372909 |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.9544360 | 0.4931710 | 1.5654372 | 0.3978758 |
| 2024-10-28 | 0.9170482 | 0.4577871 | 1.5331675 | 0.3477530 |
| 2024-10-27 | 0.9625899 | 0.4805214 | 1.6093064 | 0.4099552 |
| 2024-10-26 | 1.1987335 | 0.6382751 | 1.9328734 | 0.7055565 |
| 2024-10-25 | 1.2714868 | 0.6770132 | 2.0501830 | 0.7698399 |
| 2024-10-24 | 1.4650141 | 0.8009368 | 2.3262745 | 0.8946308 |
| 2024-10-23 | 1.6957059 | 0.9490737 | 2.6554327 | 0.9633140 |
| 2024-10-22 | 2.0952614 | 1.2205670 | 3.2024219 | 0.9957396 |
| 2024-10-21 | 2.5693098 | 1.5468924 | 3.8469005 | 0.9997445 |
| 2024-10-20 | 2.6714997 | 1.5833000 | 4.0397004 | 0.9997682 |
| 2024-10-19 | 2.7456184 | 1.5994239 | 4.1964350 | 0.9997499 |
| 2024-10-18 | 2.4160267 | 1.3208643 | 3.8363736 | 0.9973186 |
| 2024-10-17 | 2.5180774 | 1.3766564 | 3.9984185 | 0.9981426 |
| 2024-10-16 | 2.7426810 | 1.5350578 | 4.2949692 | 0.9994342 |
| 2024-10-15 | 2.3732518 | 1.2636566 | 3.8267015 | 0.9956929 |
| 2024-10-14 | 2.3516920 | 1.2521769 | 3.7919378 | 0.9953635 |
| 2024-10-13 | 2.3354517 | 1.2435297 | 3.7657515 | 0.9950979 |
| 2024-10-12 | 2.1590418 | 1.1156084 | 3.5411953 | 0.9881600 |
| 2024-10-11 | 2.1845190 | 1.1287728 | 3.5829823 | 0.9891085 |
| 2024-10-10 | 2.0423481 | 1.0195328 | 3.4145009 | 0.9778526 |
| 2024-10-09 | 2.0890843 | 1.0428633 | 3.4926367 | 0.9808185 |
| 2024-10-08 | 1.9357716 | 0.9282777 | 3.3072277 | 0.9617488 |
| 2024-10-07 | 1.3673180 | 0.5497327 | 2.5509219 | 0.7445077 |
| 2024-10-06 | 1.3586042 | 0.5462294 | 2.5346652 | 0.7395849 |
| 2024-10-05 | 1.1364370 | 0.4170523 | 2.2100540 | 0.5670138 |
| 2024-10-04 | 0.9087985 | 0.2950844 | 1.8615081 | 0.3572423 |
| 2024-10-03 | 0.8613398 | 0.2796747 | 1.7642975 | 0.3120179 |
| 2024-10-02 | 0.9725953 | 0.3569253 | 1.8914276 | 0.4189209 |
| 2024-10-01 | 1.0641957 | 0.4278619 | 1.9854052 | 0.5143196 |
| 2024-09-30 | 0.9968898 | 0.4008014 | 1.8598367 | 0.4464621 |
| 2024-09-29 | 0.9339348 | 0.3754902 | 1.7423854 | 0.3788154 |
| 2024-09-28 | 0.7512125 | 0.2756817 | 1.4608995 | 0.1924217 |
| 2024-09-27 | 0.8254533 | 0.3318750 | 1.5399979 | 0.2582954 |
| 2024-09-26 | 0.7816098 | 0.3142477 | 1.4582018 | 0.2108297 |
| 2024-09-25 | 0.6381671 | 0.2341961 | 1.2410577 | 0.0933733 |
| 2024-09-24 | 0.5095550 | 0.1654511 | 1.0437305 | 0.0330062 |
| 2024-09-23 | 0.4912216 | 0.1594983 | 1.0061778 | 0.0260478 |
| 2024-09-22 | 0.4770887 | 0.1549094 | 0.9772293 | 0.0213710 |
| 2024-09-21 | 0.4678101 | 0.1518967 | 0.9582237 | 0.0186178 |
| 2024-09-20 | 0.6494753 | 0.2611228 | 1.2116866 | 0.0882127 |
| 2024-09-19 | 0.6515820 | 0.2619698 | 1.2156170 | 0.0898071 |
| 2024-09-18 | 0.5660621 | 0.2077348 | 1.1008335 | 0.0475400 |
| 2024-09-17 | 0.4816433 | 0.1563883 | 0.9865585 | 0.0228138 |
| 2024-09-16 | 0.7898722 | 0.3410107 | 1.4240087 | 0.2088920 |
| 2024-09-15 | 0.9113621 | 0.4167328 | 1.5962193 | 0.3470311 |
| 2024-09-14 | 0.9334439 | 0.4268300 | 1.6348947 | 0.3745687 |
| 2024-09-13 | 0.9547724 | 0.4365827 | 1.6722508 | 0.4009489 |
| 2024-09-12 | 0.9775274 | 0.4469878 | 1.7121055 | 0.4287216 |
| 2024-09-11 | 1.1178510 | 0.5360530 | 1.9098264 | 0.5945574 |
| 2024-09-10 | 1.1622213 | 0.5573303 | 1.9856322 | 0.6394011 |
| 2024-09-09 | 1.3479776 | 0.6729056 | 2.2536171 | 0.7996544 |
| 2024-09-08 | 1.7063677 | 0.9085689 | 2.7513978 | 0.9528435 |
| 2024-09-07 | 1.8557355 | 0.9881010 | 2.9922428 | 0.9728601 |
| 2024-09-06 | 1.7305160 | 0.8638674 | 2.8931642 | 0.9408584 |
| 2024-09-05 | 2.2795743 | 1.2137773 | 3.6756532 | 0.9940551 |
| 2024-09-04 | 2.3708522 | 1.2250539 | 3.8886003 | 0.9940212 |
| 2024-09-03 | 2.7054171 | 1.3979285 | 4.4373437 | 0.9978581 |
| 2024-09-02 | 2.6172512 | 1.2550737 | 4.4715222 | 0.9939858 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.7996442 | 1.2801756 | 4.9034801 | 0.9941207 |
| 2024-08-31 | 4.1944811 | 2.0938698 | 7.0125455 | 0.9999066 |
| 2024-08-30 | 4.8569593 | 2.3291008 | 8.2980195 | 0.9999410 |
| 2024-08-29 | 7.1153903 | 3.5519772 | 11.8958692 | 0.9999993 |
1.4.6 Củ Chi
Bảng kết quả của Rt
| Dates | Estimate Rt | Q1 | Q3 | Propability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-31 | 0.4368240 | 0.2094741 | 0.7463052 | 0.0008626 |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.3745508 | 0.1712685 | 0.6560127 | 0.0001476 |
| 2024-10-29 | 0.3580519 | 0.1637241 | 0.6271156 | 0.0000687 |
| 2024-10-28 | 0.4582532 | 0.2367861 | 0.7516130 | 0.0006994 |
| 2024-10-27 | 0.4789329 | 0.2550116 | 0.7722456 | 0.0009339 |
| 2024-10-26 | 0.4648694 | 0.2475234 | 0.7495692 | 0.0005763 |
| 2024-10-25 | 0.4544810 | 0.2419920 | 0.7328186 | 0.0003933 |
| 2024-10-24 | 0.5168865 | 0.2892974 | 0.8094311 | 0.0015797 |
| 2024-10-23 | 0.5824998 | 0.3393276 | 0.8902994 | 0.0057790 |
| 2024-10-22 | 0.5843675 | 0.3404156 | 0.8931541 | 0.0060457 |
| 2024-10-21 | 0.6607123 | 0.3977920 | 0.9892519 | 0.0219986 |
| 2024-10-20 | 0.6733755 | 0.4054160 | 1.0082118 | 0.0274847 |
| 2024-10-19 | 0.7634005 | 0.4725569 | 1.1228668 | 0.0858843 |
| 2024-10-18 | 0.8251391 | 0.5171103 | 1.2039804 | 0.1583383 |
| 2024-10-17 | 0.8955300 | 0.5676892 | 1.2968935 | 0.2715906 |
| 2024-10-16 | 0.9772502 | 0.6261426 | 1.4052569 | 0.4281248 |
| 2024-10-15 | 1.1171102 | 0.7297335 | 1.5856490 | 0.6873806 |
| 2024-10-14 | 1.1908292 | 0.7778891 | 1.6902873 | 0.7878580 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1.4306880 | 0.9581542 | 1.9964411 | 0.9604975 |
| 2024-10-12 | 1.5552548 | 1.0415785 | 2.1702666 | 0.9842767 |
| 2024-10-11 | 1.7602907 | 1.1876607 | 2.4438020 | 0.9971752 |
| 2024-10-10 | 2.1237954 | 1.4619230 | 2.9073119 | 0.9999229 |
| 2024-10-09 | 2.2534529 | 1.5413601 | 3.0986404 | 0.9999666 |
| 2024-10-08 | 2.3700590 | 1.6103401 | 3.2742644 | 0.9999826 |
| 2024-10-07 | 2.4568007 | 1.6575931 | 3.4107631 | 0.9999878 |
| 2024-10-06 | 2.5837090 | 1.7432176 | 3.5869491 | 0.9999952 |
| 2024-10-05 | 2.4830184 | 1.6499477 | 3.4836378 | 0.9999806 |
| 2024-10-04 | 2.5936344 | 1.7369977 | 3.6192644 | 0.9999937 |
| 2024-10-03 | 2.4817006 | 1.6490720 | 3.4817889 | 0.9999804 |
| 2024-10-02 | 2.4288276 | 1.6139383 | 3.4076090 | 0.9999716 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.2768437 | 1.5004543 | 3.2125441 | 0.9998894 |
| 2024-09-30 | 1.9654895 | 1.2593262 | 2.8263160 | 0.9981616 |
| 2024-09-29 | 1.5963914 | 0.9751174 | 2.3683148 | 0.9688008 |
| 2024-09-28 | 1.6440072 | 1.0176664 | 2.4181293 | 0.9787469 |
| 2024-09-27 | 1.5460651 | 0.9443767 | 2.2936535 | 0.9590425 |
| 2024-09-26 | 1.0744908 | 0.5874341 | 1.7061682 | 0.5698093 |
| 2024-09-25 | 1.0702215 | 0.5851001 | 1.6993892 | 0.5640958 |
| 2024-09-24 | 0.9910833 | 0.5277101 | 1.5980521 | 0.4503059 |
| 2024-09-23 | 0.9130511 | 0.4717868 | 1.4975590 | 0.3388396 |
| 2024-09-22 | 0.8372558 | 0.4179551 | 1.3997665 | 0.2400076 |
| 2024-09-21 | 0.8423804 | 0.4205133 | 1.4083342 | 0.2467152 |
| 2024-09-20 | 0.7781966 | 0.3731755 | 1.3295335 | 0.1759347 |
| 2024-09-19 | 0.8814624 | 0.4400228 | 1.4736733 | 0.2990623 |
| 2024-09-18 | 1.0040022 | 0.5187826 | 1.6467342 | 0.4670789 |
| 2024-09-17 | 1.1477947 | 0.6111524 | 1.8507382 | 0.6525441 |
| 2024-09-16 | 1.2157446 | 0.6473328 | 1.9603026 | 0.7217715 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1.4786293 | 0.8275776 | 2.3154961 | 0.9087968 |
| 2024-09-14 | 1.4383234 | 0.7863448 | 2.2838927 | 0.8831058 |
| 2024-09-13 | 1.4806689 | 0.8094955 | 2.3511326 | 0.9008784 |
| 2024-09-12 | 1.5128747 | 0.8271027 | 2.4022717 | 0.9126325 |
| 2024-09-11 | 1.4365647 | 0.7649102 | 2.3163595 | 0.8721518 |
| 2024-09-10 | 1.4830987 | 0.7896876 | 2.3913922 | 0.8921695 |
| 2024-09-09 | 1.5564183 | 0.8287272 | 2.5096149 | 0.9177240 |
| 2024-09-08 | 1.7949365 | 0.9813085 | 2.8501534 | 0.9713873 |
| 2024-09-07 | 2.3824722 | 1.3878779 | 3.6413982 | 0.9988277 |
| 2024-09-06 | 2.6497901 | 1.5436004 | 4.0499700 | 0.9996277 |
| 2024-09-05 | 2.6305370 | 1.4722916 | 4.1193546 | 0.9991443 |
| 2024-09-04 | 2.5791258 | 1.3732758 | 4.1586588 | 0.9978382 |
| 2024-09-03 | 2.4753800 | 1.2357008 | 4.1384654 | 0.9938977 |
| 2024-09-02 | 2.5667872 | 1.2308742 | 4.3853055 | 0.9931577 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.9686192 | 1.4235683 | 5.0718276 | 0.9974623 |
| 2024-08-31 | 3.1649188 | 1.4472024 | 5.5432459 | 0.9973081 |
| 2024-08-30 | 4.2996687 | 2.0618583 | 7.3458994 | 0.9998427 |
| 2024-08-29 | 5.9871527 | 2.9887651 | 10.0096246 | 0.9999962 |
| 2024-08-28 | 7.8337281 | 3.9105688 | 13.0968226 | 0.9999997 |
| 2024-08-27 | 10.5381853 | 5.2606241 | 17.6182709 | 1.0000000 |
1.4.7 Quận 12
Bảng kết quả của Rt
| Dates | Estimate Rt | Q1 | Q3 | Propability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-31 | 1.2860118 | 0.7742631 | 1.925482 | 0.8350402 |
| 2024-10-30 | 1.1931614 | 0.6950605 | 1.823642 | 0.7340971 |
| 2024-10-29 | 1.2406765 | 0.7227398 | 1.896264 | 0.7811234 |
| 2024-10-28 | 1.2212918 | 0.6980738 | 1.888439 | 0.7546130 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1.2895600 | 0.7370950 | 1.994000 | 0.8134646 |
| 2024-10-26 | 1.4643528 | 0.8530395 | 2.238134 | 0.9185466 |
| 2024-10-25 | 1.5841984 | 0.9228539 | 2.421307 | 0.9533492 |
| 2024-10-24 | 1.8310870 | 1.0852182 | 2.768873 | 0.9877639 |
| 2024-10-23 | 2.1151703 | 1.2734707 | 3.166940 | 0.9976231 |
| 2024-10-22 | 2.2995305 | 1.3844676 | 3.442973 | 0.9990573 |
| 2024-10-21 | 2.5896553 | 1.5818287 | 3.841864 | 0.9998383 |
| 2024-10-20 | 2.3024778 | 1.3412782 | 3.519134 | 0.9983304 |
| 2024-10-19 | 2.2145247 | 1.2657922 | 3.424239 | 0.9967462 |
| 2024-10-18 | 2.0832902 | 1.1660017 | 3.262380 | 0.9927139 |
| 2024-10-17 | 2.2073017 | 1.2616636 | 3.413070 | 0.9966444 |
| 2024-10-16 | 2.0500238 | 1.1473827 | 3.210285 | 0.9916501 |
| 2024-10-15 | 2.1711329 | 1.2409900 | 3.357144 | 0.9960830 |
| 2024-10-14 | 2.1650289 | 1.2375011 | 3.347706 | 0.9959791 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1.8972237 | 1.0372299 | 3.012574 | 0.9808733 |
| 2024-10-12 | 1.9059524 | 1.0420019 | 3.026434 | 0.9815165 |
| 2024-10-11 | 1.7806153 | 0.9481027 | 2.871117 | 0.9641904 |
| 2024-10-10 | 1.3780213 | 0.6608148 | 2.354322 | 0.8035325 |
| 2024-10-09 | 1.1077498 | 0.4782477 | 1.997089 | 0.5656960 |
| 2024-10-08 | 1.1109987 | 0.4796504 | 2.002947 | 0.5688330 |
| 2024-10-07 | 0.9731873 | 0.3912718 | 1.815616 | 0.4213877 |
| 2024-10-06 | 0.9732625 | 0.3913020 | 1.815757 | 0.4214681 |
| 2024-10-05 | 1.1125119 | 0.4803037 | 2.005675 | 0.5702885 |
| 2024-10-04 | 1.1133585 | 0.4806692 | 2.007201 | 0.5711012 |
| 2024-10-03 | 1.1133836 | 0.4806800 | 2.007246 | 0.5711252 |
| 2024-10-02 | 1.2471965 | 0.5702976 | 2.184422 | 0.7005020 |
| 2024-10-01 | 1.0935427 | 0.4721141 | 1.971477 | 0.5517868 |
| 2024-09-30 | 1.0638202 | 0.4592820 | 1.917892 | 0.5217009 |
| 2024-09-29 | 1.1468089 | 0.5243941 | 2.008596 | 0.6137732 |
| 2024-09-28 | 0.9651736 | 0.4166935 | 1.740048 | 0.4134439 |
| 2024-09-27 | 0.9086821 | 0.3923044 | 1.638203 | 0.3473507 |
| 2024-09-26 | 0.8566032 | 0.3698205 | 1.544314 | 0.2856911 |
| 2024-09-25 | 0.8129353 | 0.3509677 | 1.465588 | 0.2348971 |
| 2024-09-24 | 0.6815913 | 0.2740350 | 1.271603 | 0.1140101 |
| 2024-09-23 | 0.7541364 | 0.3255826 | 1.359583 | 0.1703445 |
| 2024-09-22 | 0.8290555 | 0.3790970 | 1.452062 | 0.2450480 |
| 2024-09-21 | 0.7253731 | 0.3131646 | 1.307727 | 0.1413409 |
| 2024-09-20 | 0.8070314 | 0.3690262 | 1.413488 | 0.2187693 |
| 2024-09-19 | 0.7112982 | 0.3070881 | 1.282353 | 0.1279426 |
| 2024-09-18 | 0.6183448 | 0.2486067 | 1.153608 | 0.0663663 |
| 2024-09-17 | 0.5282263 | 0.1938497 | 1.027253 | 0.0302220 |
| 2024-09-16 | 0.6175264 | 0.2482776 | 1.152081 | 0.0658365 |
| 2024-09-15 | 0.7124306 | 0.3075770 | 1.284395 | 0.1289996 |
| 2024-09-14 | 0.8153424 | 0.3728265 | 1.428044 | 0.2286014 |
| 2024-09-13 | 0.8341628 | 0.3814324 | 1.461007 | 0.2512360 |
| 2024-09-12 | 0.9495103 | 0.4553271 | 1.622220 | 0.3934042 |
| 2024-09-11 | 1.0654025 | 0.5318451 | 1.781194 | 0.5424821 |
| 2024-09-10 | 1.2723955 | 0.6774970 | 2.051648 | 0.7705611 |
| 2024-09-09 | 1.1730796 | 0.6061474 | 1.924050 | 0.6703989 |
| 2024-09-08 | 1.0631006 | 0.5306960 | 1.777345 | 0.5397006 |
| 2024-09-07 | 1.1406425 | 0.5893866 | 1.870847 | 0.6363187 |
| 2024-09-06 | 1.0301458 | 0.5142451 | 1.722250 | 0.4988275 |
| 2024-09-05 | 1.1166359 | 0.5769821 | 1.831473 | 0.6094916 |
| 2024-09-04 | 1.1245800 | 0.5810869 | 1.844502 | 0.6185184 |
| 2024-09-03 | 1.2466914 | 0.6638107 | 2.010202 | 0.7493991 |
| 2024-09-02 | 1.3960688 | 0.7632438 | 2.216797 | 0.8624027 |
| 2024-09-01 | 1.3674437 | 0.7281062 | 2.204907 | 0.8358558 |
| 2024-08-31 | 1.3473126 | 0.6961761 | 2.209822 | 0.8119731 |
| 2024-08-30 | 1.4521325 | 0.7503380 | 2.381744 | 0.8681058 |
| 2024-08-29 | 1.4482435 | 0.7229579 | 2.421247 | 0.8539197 |
| 2024-08-28 | 1.4495878 | 0.6951337 | 2.476592 | 0.8406362 |
| 2024-08-27 | 1.2989135 | 0.5607786 | 2.341726 | 0.7218154 |
| 2024-08-26 | 2.0492445 | 1.0229755 | 3.426031 | 0.9783189 |
| 2024-08-25 | 2.4260795 | 1.2110901 | 4.056042 | 0.9929688 |
| 2024-08-24 | 2.9824251 | 1.4888159 | 4.986169 | 0.9984659 |
| 2024-08-23 | 4.5207490 | 2.4071085 | 7.289390 | 0.9999896 |
| 2024-08-22 | 6.0662757 | 3.2300363 | 9.781443 | 0.9999996 |
| 2024-08-21 | 8.5166007 | 4.5347312 | 13.732419 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-08-20 | 12.4522231 | 6.6302844 | 20.078333 | 1.0000000 |
1.4.8 Tân Phú
Bảng kết quả của Rt
| Dates | Estimate Rt | Q1 | Q3 | Propability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | 1.1571607 | 0.7558958 | 1.6424976 | 0.7455091 |
| 2024-10-31 | 1.2161012 | 0.7943977 | 1.7261589 | 0.8158529 |
| 2024-10-30 | 1.1921966 | 0.7638629 | 1.7143436 | 0.7786525 |
| 2024-10-29 | 1.2781217 | 0.8189167 | 1.8379014 | 0.8611543 |
| 2024-10-28 | 1.2671069 | 0.7940892 | 1.8488663 | 0.8403217 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1.1940939 | 0.7189225 | 1.7878577 | 0.7496420 |
| 2024-10-26 | 1.4537425 | 0.8998895 | 2.1382737 | 0.9381040 |
| 2024-10-25 | 2.0011024 | 1.3071866 | 2.8404057 | 0.9990413 |
| 2024-10-24 | 2.2417511 | 1.4643862 | 3.1819874 | 0.9998149 |
| 2024-10-23 | 2.4235697 | 1.5684065 | 3.4618364 | 0.9999242 |
| 2024-10-22 | 2.8270727 | 1.8467377 | 4.0128048 | 0.9999957 |
| 2024-10-21 | 3.3811477 | 2.2467481 | 4.7436999 | 0.9999999 |
| 2024-10-20 | 3.6903302 | 2.4521976 | 5.1774782 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-10-19 | 3.6557004 | 2.3880249 | 5.1889759 | 1.0000000 |
| 2024-10-18 | 3.5122947 | 2.2503935 | 5.0505763 | 0.9999997 |
| 2024-10-17 | 3.4254417 | 2.1714362 | 4.9606746 | 0.9999993 |
| 2024-10-16 | 3.1278913 | 1.9362140 | 4.6007375 | 0.9999921 |
| 2024-10-15 | 3.2402800 | 2.0306662 | 4.7279707 | 0.9999972 |
| 2024-10-14 | 2.7500378 | 1.6557024 | 4.1174955 | 0.9998898 |
| 2024-10-13 | 2.4097219 | 1.4037518 | 3.6830470 | 0.9989597 |
| 2024-10-12 | 2.4909005 | 1.4762655 | 3.7666078 | 0.9994794 |
| 2024-10-11 | 1.7482671 | 0.9308786 | 2.8189576 | 0.9596325 |
| 2024-10-10 | 1.5584689 | 0.8052836 | 2.5561538 | 0.9085158 |
| 2024-10-09 | 1.3703763 | 0.6840869 | 2.2910644 | 0.8131975 |
| 2024-10-08 | 1.0700602 | 0.4892997 | 1.8741735 | 0.5354092 |
| 2024-10-07 | 0.9059733 | 0.3911350 | 1.6333199 | 0.3441447 |
| 2024-10-06 | 0.7557404 | 0.3038468 | 1.4099389 | 0.1839097 |
| 2024-10-05 | 0.7218996 | 0.2902411 | 1.3468042 | 0.1504594 |
| 2024-10-04 | 0.6902557 | 0.2775186 | 1.2877680 | 0.1214882 |
| 2024-10-03 | 0.6594135 | 0.2651184 | 1.2302276 | 0.0958580 |
| 2024-10-02 | 0.6286892 | 0.2527657 | 1.1729072 | 0.0732621 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.6841274 | 0.2953577 | 1.2333684 | 0.1037629 |
| 2024-09-30 | 0.6521376 | 0.2815467 | 1.1756960 | 0.0784592 |
| 2024-09-29 | 0.7024529 | 0.3212062 | 1.2303220 | 0.1086588 |
| 2024-09-28 | 0.4517260 | 0.1657755 | 0.8784814 | 0.0089217 |
| 2024-09-27 | 0.5130864 | 0.2062873 | 0.9572340 | 0.0176701 |
| 2024-09-26 | 0.5763551 | 0.2488292 | 1.0390728 | 0.0337642 |
| 2024-09-25 | 0.5712381 | 0.2466201 | 1.0298477 | 0.0315386 |
| 2024-09-24 | 0.7121497 | 0.3415035 | 1.2166938 | 0.1074262 |
| 2024-09-23 | 0.7133613 | 0.3420845 | 1.2187638 | 0.1085432 |
| 2024-09-22 | 0.7173398 | 0.3439923 | 1.2255610 | 0.1122515 |
| 2024-09-21 | 0.7253407 | 0.3478290 | 1.2392303 | 0.1198925 |
| 2024-09-20 | 0.7402625 | 0.3549846 | 1.2647240 | 0.1347740 |
| 2024-09-19 | 0.7663145 | 0.3674776 | 1.3092332 | 0.1625688 |
| 2024-09-18 | 0.9703525 | 0.5013953 | 1.5915429 | 0.4203685 |
| 2024-09-17 | 0.9602676 | 0.4793621 | 1.6054240 | 0.4068106 |
| 2024-09-16 | 1.2552119 | 0.6683475 | 2.0239409 | 0.7565904 |
| 2024-09-15 | 1.6392257 | 0.9174622 | 2.5669860 | 0.9534479 |
| 2024-09-14 | 1.8922555 | 1.0590810 | 2.9632243 | 0.9839442 |
| 2024-09-13 | 2.3668155 | 1.3528395 | 3.6597208 | 0.9982860 |
| 2024-09-12 | 2.4594027 | 1.3445784 | 3.9052498 | 0.9977080 |
| 2024-09-11 | 3.3787719 | 1.9312601 | 5.2244722 | 0.9999631 |
| 2024-09-10 | 3.6072833 | 1.9721354 | 5.7279526 | 0.9999442 |
| 2024-09-09 | 4.4936045 | 2.4566954 | 7.1353291 | 0.9999948 |
| 2024-09-08 | 5.7602020 | 3.1491560 | 9.1465408 | 0.9999997 |
| 2024-09-07 | 8.7583654 | 5.0061626 | 13.5427423 | 1.0000000 |
1.5 Rt - Hệ số lây nhiễm hiệu quả tại thời điểm
Hệ số lây nhiễm hiệu quả tại thời điểm (Rt - Effective reproduction number at time) là số ca thứ phát trung bình do một cá thể nhiễm bệnh có thể lây truyền cho người khác trong suốt thời kì lây nhiễm, tại một thời điểm nhất định, khi quần thể không hoàn toàn cảm nhiễm. (“Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, rt | PLOS computational biology,” n.d.)
Rt thể hiện mức độ lây nhiễm trong cộng đồng theo thời gian thực và giúp quan sát tình hình dịch bệnh có chiều hướng tăng, giảm, hoặc ổn định. Đồng thời, có thể dựa vào chỉ số này để đánh giá hiệu quả của các biện pháp kiểm soát đã được thực hiện. Nếu Rt duy trì > 1 thì số ca có thể tăng, dịch bệnh có thể bùng phát trở lại; nếu Rt duy trì < 1 thì số ca có thể giảm, dịch bệnh đang được kiểm soát.
Ước lượng Rt rất nhạy với phân phối thời gian thế hệ (generation interval).
Ước tính hệ số lây nhiễm Rt có thể không chính xác, do số ca bệnh được báo cáo có thể biến động bởi nhiều yếu tố như mức độ nghiêm trọng của bệnh, tần suất thực hiện xét nghiệm hoặc sự thay đổi trong quy trình báo cáo.
1.6 Phương pháp ước tính Rt
1.6.1 Công thức:
Uớc tính Rt theo phương pháp Cori: (Cori, Ferguson, Fraser, & Cauchemez, 2013a)
\[ R_t^i = \frac{I_t}{\sum_{s = 1}^{t} I_{t - s} w_s} \]
- It: số ca nhiễm bệnh mới ghi nhận trong ngày t.
It-s: số người bị nhiễm bệnh s ngày trước đó.
ws: chỉ số lây nhiễm, mô tả mức độ lây nhiễm của một cá thể kể từ s ngày sau khi bị nhiễm bệnh. Mức độ lây nhiễm này phụ thuộc vào khoảng thời gian từ khi cá thể bị nhiễm bệnh, nhưng không phụ thuộc vào thời điểm t cụ thể. Chỉ số này thường được ước lượng dựa trên khoảng thời gian thế hệ (generation interval).
It-sws: thể hiện sự điều chỉnh số ca nhiễm s ngày trước bằng mức độ lây nhiễm tại thời điểm hiện tại t (là s ngày sau khi họ bị nhiễm bệnh).
1.6.2 Tiêu chuẩn để ước tính Rt
Tiêu chuẩn theo phương pháp Cori: (Cori et al., 2013a)
Tối thiểu sau Sliding Window size.
Tối thiểu sau trung bình của Serival Interval.
Tối thiểu 12 ca bệnh (ca bệnh ban đầu + 11) được quan sát kể từ khi bắt đầu dịch (trong một Sliding Window): để có được khoảng tin cậy trên là 0,3, sliding window phải bao gồm ít nhất 11 ca mắc mới.
1.7 Phương pháp đánh giá Rt
- CDC Hoa Kỳ hiện đang sử dụng Rt để đánh giá mức độ lây nhiễm cho các tác nhân như COVID-19 (CDC, 2024), đậu mùa khỉ… Khuyến cáo của CDC sử dụng tỉ lệ phân phối khoảng tin cậy (KTC) của Rt để phân loại tình hình dịch bệnh như sau:
Phân độ Rt (CDC, 2024)
1.8 Thời gian thế hệ
- Khoảng thời gian thế hệ (Generation interval): là khoảng thời gian từ khi ca bệnh đầu tiên bị nhiễm đến khi lây truyền cho các ca bệnh khác do ca đó gây ra. (Cori, Ferguson, Fraser, & Cauchemez, 2013b).
- Khoảng thời gian nối tiếp (Serial interval): là khoảng thời gian từ khi một ca bệnh khởi phát triệu chứng đến khi các ca bệnh do ca đó lây khởi phát triệu chứng (Gostic et al., 2020).
Hình minh họa từ tác giả (Sender et al., 2022).